Auditors see billions of dollars worth of possible savings in the financial plan of two Russian Railways development projects — the Trans-Siberian and the Baikal–Amur railroads, Kommersant reports.
According to RZD, this is the largest infrastructure project the Russian state supports in the amount of 260 billion rubles, including 150 billion rubles from the National Welfare Fund. Currently, the total project cost is estimated by RZD at 560 billion rubles, most of which – 300 billion rubles the company plans to invest from its own sources.
Basis for the formation of the structure of the project activities was expected to increase demand for the carriage of goods by 55 million tonnes to the current level, the bulk of which will ensure the supply of raw materials from the developing coal and ore deposits of the Far East.
Analysts from EY, PwC and Deloitte who reviewed the documentation also expressed doubt over the projected levels of growth in cargo transportation by 2020 on the two lines, which they say the state rail monopoly has overestimated by 55 million tons.
Russian Railways senior vice-president Vadim Mikhailov said Thursday that the company planned to issue 50 billion rubles ($1.4 billion) of preferred stock in March, which would be intended for the reconstruction of the Trans-Siberian and Baikal-Amur Railways, in addition to money coming from the National Welfare Fund.
However, Deloitte found that Russian Railways had failed to account for the cost of maintaining infrastructure and extra trains on the eastern lines, to the tune of 82.7 billion rubles ($2.4 billion), while an extra 36.9 billion ($1 billion) could be saved by abandoning construction on the Daban tunnel. Postponing a system of automatic locking could also save 6.5 billion rubles ($189 million), EY said, and PwC found a further 3.8 billion rubles ($110 million) in savings elsewhere.
Concerns have also been raised over the longer-term reliability of several coal and ore projects in the East, which Russian Railways is relying on for revenue. While the Tuva Energy Industrial Corporation plans to transport 15 million tons of coal a year by 2017, a project by Norilsk Nickel has been suspended due to lack of funding. Deloitte is concerned that other projects may also be frozen.
Russian Railways said they were confident in their estimates for projected growth in cargo transportation, which they see hitting 163.2 million tons by 2020.